Edge isn't a feeling. It's a number — and this is the first part of it.
infoEducational only. This tool does not provide financial, investment, legal, or trading advice. Trading and investing involve risk. Verify information independently and make your own decisions.
Results
Above this win rate, the system is positive at this geometry — before fees.
Enter your average winning trade and average losing trade. The calculator returns the win rate at which you would break even before fees. You can also enter a risk-to-reward ratio directly.
Break-even Win Rate = Average Loss ÷ (Average Win + Average Loss)
Average win $300, average loss $100. Break-even ≈ 25%. You can lose 75% of trades and still not lose money before fees.
35 realistic scenarios pause at the decision point — long, short, or stay out. Free in the ChartsQuest quest.
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Sign up freeCompare potential loss to potential gain — and see the break-even win rate you'd need.
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insightsCompute expected average result per trade — the core math of edge.
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shieldScore your risk-management habits — and see which to work on next.
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A 70% win rate paired with tiny wins and huge losses is a losing system. Break-even rate combines win rate with average win/loss size.
Break-even is the win rate at which expectancy equals zero. Above that rate, expectancy is positive; below it, negative.
There is no universal answer. Trend traders often run below 50%; mean-reverters often above. Both can be profitable if reward and risk are aligned.
No, the tool is free and works without signing in.
Educational only. This tool does not provide financial, investment, legal, or trading advice. Trading and investing involve risk. Verify information independently and make your own decisions.